Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CLT +146 GAST -174 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +11 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -2.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.8 (-26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -1.0 (-12.0) | 152.1 (-11.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -0.1 (-11.1) | 147.6 (-6.6) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | CLT 77 – 63 GAST |
| Nov 25, 2023 | CLT 65 – 57 GAST |
Game Analysis
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