Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO +125 KC -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +21 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SEMO -5.7 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -4.8 (+16.2) | 138.0 (+1.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -3.1 (+17.9) | 141.1 (-2.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -4.5 (+16.5) | 139.3 (-0.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -4.9 (+16.1) | 138.3 (+0.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2023 | KC 74 – 44 SEMO |
| Nov 28, 2020 | SEMO 71 – 66 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#288) | -6.7 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#257) | -2.23 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#245) | -2.95 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#258) | 0.374 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 34.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 41.9% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.6% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.3% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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