Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | KC -333 SEMO +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +30 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | KC -11.3 (+18.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -6.1 (+23.9) | 140.1 (-22.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -6.0 (+24.0) | 134.7 (-16.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -5.5 (+24.5) | 138.3 (-20.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -6.4 (+23.6) | 141.4 (-23.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | SEMO 80 – 59 KC |
| Nov 28, 2020 | SEMO 71 – 66 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#301) | -12.5 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.68 (#355) | -1.51 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.71 (#356) | -2.29 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#266) | 0.439 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 63.3% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.7% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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