Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | NE -110 ODU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | NE -8.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -6.0 (+7.0) | 146.0 (+3.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -3.8 (+9.2) | 142.6 (+6.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -6.0 (+7.0) | 145.3 (+3.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -5.8 (+7.2) | 147.3 (+1.7) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | NE 75 – 71 ODU |
| Dec 20, 2020 | ODU 66 – 62 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-13 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#181) | -2.4 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#231) | 0.04 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#210) | -0.24 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#190) | 0.525 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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