Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -260 NE +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -0.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -3.2 (+0.8) | 144.3 (-16.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -3.1 (+0.9) | 139.7 (-11.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -4.5 (-0.5) | 147.2 (-19.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -3.0 (+1.0) | 145.2 (-17.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | NE 75 – 71 ODU |
| Dec 2, 2023 | NE 81 – 68 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#131) | 5.9 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#89) | 0.90 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#82) | 1.79 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#49) | 0.636 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 19.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 37.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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