Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | URI -145 YALE +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +6 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | URI -9.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -4.4 (+1.6) | 155.2 (+6.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -9.3 (-3.3) | 158.8 (+3.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -10.6 (-4.6) | 159.0 (+3.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -9.1 (-3.1) | 157.4 (+4.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | URI 86 – 77 YALE |
| Nov 26, 2023 | URI 76 – 72 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-1 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-0 |
| Away | 1-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#61) | 5.3 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#35) | -0.11 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.27 (#48) | -0.51 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#31) | 0.496 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.8% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.9% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 36.0% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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