Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UNCG -1200 ELON +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +9 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | UNCG -15.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -13.8 (-4.8) | 153.8 (+1.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -14.2 (-5.2) | 152.8 (+2.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -12.4 (-3.4) | 154.8 (+0.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -12.8 (-3.8) | 154.4 (+0.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | ELON 92 – 90 UNCG |
| Dec 22, 2024 | ELON 73 – 69 UNCG |
| Dec 3, 2022 | UNCG 65 – 61 ELON |
| Dec 1, 2021 | UNCG 74 – 61 ELON |
| Dec 19, 2020 | UNCG 71 – 64 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#107) | -6.6 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#40) | -0.40 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#42) | -0.98 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#62) | 0.466 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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