Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +13 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UNCG -15.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -12.1 (+0.9) | 138.1 (-3.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -13.2 (-0.2) | 137.6 (-2.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -11.2 (+1.8) | 140.5 (-5.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -11.7 (+1.3) | 139.2 (-4.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2025 | ELON 92 – 90 UNCG |
| Dec 22, 2024 | ELON 73 – 69 UNCG |
| Dec 10, 2023 | UNCG 82 – 73 ELON |
| Dec 3, 2022 | UNCG 65 – 61 ELON |
| Dec 19, 2020 | UNCG 71 – 64 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#213) | -10.7 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#152) | -3.20 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#160) | -4.92 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#178) | 0.431 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 43.9 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 80.0% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 36.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.