Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -300 TLSA +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +15 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -1.3 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -0.7 (+14.3) | 140.9 (-11.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -3.0 (+12.0) | 142.3 (-13.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -0.8 (+14.2) | 143.1 (-14.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -0.4 (+14.6) | 142.4 (-13.4) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | OKST 76 – 55 TLSA |
| Nov 26, 2022 | OKST 82 – 56 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#115) | 2.2 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#301) | -0.19 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#280) | -0.00 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#294) | 0.444 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 42.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 34.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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