Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | TLSA +200 OKST -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +21 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -3.1 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (-28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -1.1 (-19.9) | 150.5 (-19.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -2.5 (-18.5) | 152.8 (-21.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -1.4 (-19.6) | 151.5 (-20.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -2.1 (-18.9) | 151.4 (-20.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2023 | OKST 72 – 57 TLSA |
| Nov 26, 2022 | OKST 82 – 56 TLSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-9 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#283) | 1.9 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#268) | -0.22 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#254) | -0.07 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#303) | 0.484 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 33.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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