Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -450 ND +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +21 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -12.3 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-33.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -13.2 (+7.8) | 146.1 (-29.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -11.9 (+9.1) | 142.0 (-25.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -13.1 (+7.9) | 145.6 (-28.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -13.8 (+7.2) | 146.3 (-29.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2022 | UGA 77 – 62 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#34) | 6.1 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#21) | -0.16 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.47 (#22) | 0.39 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#39) | 0.499 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 42.6% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 34.4% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.