Betting Lines
| Spread | ND -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UGA +130 ND -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +15 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | ND -0.4 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -0.2 (+14.8) | 131.8 (+7.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ND -1.3 (+16.3) | 130.6 (+8.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -0.1 (+14.9) | 132.1 (+6.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -0.3 (+14.7) | 133.0 (+6.0) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | UGA 69 – 48 ND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-17 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-8 |
| Away | 1-10 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#168) | 0.8 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#172) | 0.33 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#183) | 0.78 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#179) | 0.533 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 12.0% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 12.4% |
Game Analysis
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