Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SIU -400 NDSU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +13 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SIU -13.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -11.3 (+1.7) | 139.8 (-0.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -11.9 (+1.1) | 142.2 (-3.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -12.2 (+0.8) | 142.7 (-3.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -12.8 (+0.2) | 142.2 (-3.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | NDSU 92 – 85 SIU |
| Nov 19, 2024 | SIU 69 – 44 NDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#86) | -2.6 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#185) | -0.04 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#150) | -0.26 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#155) | 0.520 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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