Betting Lines
| Spread | UCF -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UCF -5000 FAMU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCF +13 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | UCF -23.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCF -18.9 (-5.9) | 140.2 (-15.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCF -23.0 (-10.0) | 140.9 (-15.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCF -20.5 (-7.5) | 142.1 (-17.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCF -21.2 (-8.2) | 139.8 (-14.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | UCF 97 – 60 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCF | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-8 | 4-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#70) | -11.4 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#94) | -0.58 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#96) | -0.68 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#86) | 0.521 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCF | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 41.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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