Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | MRSH -140 UL +118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +14 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UL -1.8 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -1.2 (+15.2) | 148.8 (-12.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -0.5 (+14.5) | 148.5 (-12.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -0.3 (+14.3) | 147.8 (-11.8) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UL -1.2 (+15.2) | 148.6 (-12.6) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2025 | UL 79 – 68 MRSH |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UL 77 – 67 MRSH |
| Nov 24, 2021 | MRSH 93 – 79 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#238) | 2.7 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#232) | 0.62 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#215) | 0.96 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#192) | 0.514 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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