This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Big 12 Conference · Fertitta Center · January 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread HOU -19.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money HOU -3500 / WVU +1350
Model Predictions
Spread Total HOU win
Actual HOU +34 144 Won
Massey HOU -27.5 (+6.5) — —
Massey Totals — 125.7 (+18.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML HOU -24.9 (+9.1) 132.3 (+11.7) 90% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HOU -20.8 (+13.2) 131.8 (+12.2) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HOU -20.7 (+13.3) 130.7 (+13.3) 91% ✓
Baseline ML HOU -23.7 (+10.3) 130.2 (+13.8) 90% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 14, 2026 HOU 77 – 48 WVU
Jan 30, 2025 HOU 63 – 49 WVU
Jan 16, 2025 HOU 70 – 54 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HOU WVU
Overall 32-5 9-23
Conference 15-3 4-14
Home 17-0 9-9
Away 7-3 0-9
Neutral 8-2 0-5
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 73.5 69.8
Avg Pts Against 57.6 76.8
Massey 23.9 (#2) 0.7 (#156)
Bradley-Terry 4.59 (#1) -0.48 (#224)
W. Bradley-Terry 6.30 (#1) -0.20 (#187)
RPI 0.655 (#11) 0.488 (#190)
Shooting & Four Factors HOU WVU
FG% 43.9% 41.1%
3PT% 34.9% 30.3%
REB / G 41.2 37.8
OREB / G 16.1 10.4
AST / TO 1.48 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 46.5%
TOV% 14.4% 16.7%
ORB% 42.0% 28.5%
FT Rate 21.7% 25.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 40.3% 47.5%
Opp TOV% 28.6% 14.1%
DRB% 71.5% 70.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.9% 15.0%

Game Analysis

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