Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Big 12 Conference · Hope Coliseum · January 30, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread HOU -9.5 Away covered
O/U 124.5 Under
Money WVU +350 / HOU -460
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual HOU +14 112 Lost
Massey HOU -9.5 (-4.5) — —
Massey Totals — 122.5 (-10.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 37% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 23% ✓
Baseline Plus ML HOU -6.8 (-7.2) 126.9 (-14.9) 18% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HOU -8.3 (-5.7) 123.7 (-11.7) 15% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HOU -6.8 (-7.2) 123.5 (-11.5) 24% ✓
Baseline ML HOU -6.6 (-7.4) 123.9 (-11.9) 21% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 14, 2026 HOU 77 – 48 WVU
Jan 16, 2025 HOU 70 – 54 WVU
Jan 6, 2024 HOU 89 – 55 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU HOU
Overall 19-13 35-5
Conference 10-10 19-1
Home 13-4 16-1
Away 4-7 10-0
Neutral 2-2 9-4
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.2 73.7
Avg Pts Against 64.8 58.6
Massey 12.9 (#42) 25.7 (#2)
Bradley-Terry 2.34 (#39) 3.48 (#10)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.58 (#49) 4.47 (#10)
RPI 0.595 (#40) 0.648 (#10)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU HOU
FG% 42.3% 45.9%
3PT% 33.0% 39.5%
REB / G 34.6 38.2
OREB / G 9.5 13.2
AST / TO 1.26 1.54
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 52.8%
TOV% 15.9% 13.5%
ORB% 26.7% 37.5%
FT Rate 21.3% 19.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.2% 42.5%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 23.0%
DRB% 69.1% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 23.0%

Game Analysis

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