Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
America East Conference · Kennedy Family Athletic Complex · January 11, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UML -14.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money UML -1400 / NJIT +1000
Model Predictions
Spread Total UML win
Actual UML +8 132 Won
Massey UML -19.4 (-11.4) — —
Massey Totals — 146.1 (-14.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UML -14.5 (-6.5) 146.4 (-14.4) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UML -14.9 (-6.9) 146.0 (-14.0) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UML -14.0 (-6.0) 145.4 (-13.4) 89% ✓
Baseline ML UML -14.4 (-6.4) 145.5 (-13.5) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 NJIT 81 – 56 UML
Jan 15, 2026 NJIT 73 – 64 UML
Jan 31, 2025 NJIT 83 – 62 UML
Jan 11, 2025 UML 70 – 62 NJIT
Feb 10, 2024 NJIT 71 – 64 UML

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UML NJIT
Overall 22-10 7-21
Conference 11-5 3-13
Home 12-3 5-8
Away 10-7 2-13
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 77.0 65.7
Avg Pts Against 72.2 75.9
Massey 3.9 (#110) -11.3 (#332)
Bradley-Terry 0.92 (#102) -1.79 (#317)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.22 (#103) -2.36 (#322)
RPI 0.523 (#138) 0.416 (#310)
Shooting & Four Factors UML NJIT
FG% 45.0% 40.1%
3PT% 29.3% 31.0%
REB / G 39.7 32.8
OREB / G 11.7 10.1
AST / TO 0.76 0.84
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 46.5%
TOV% 20.1% 18.4%
ORB% 33.7% 27.8%
FT Rate 25.1% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.4% 50.6%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 16.9%
DRB% 73.7% 60.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.1% 28.0%

Game Analysis

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