Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UML -7500 NJIT +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UML -17.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -12.5 (-4.5) | 141.5 (-9.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -13.9 (-5.9) | 142.0 (-10.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -13.3 (-5.3) | 142.8 (-10.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -13.1 (-5.1) | 142.1 (-10.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | NJIT 81 – 56 UML |
| Jan 15, 2026 | NJIT 73 – 64 UML |
| Jan 31, 2025 | NJIT 83 – 62 UML |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NJIT 71 – 64 UML |
| Jan 11, 2024 | UML 70 – 62 NJIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 3-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 4-9 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#195) | -15.7 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#135) | -3.06 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#131) | -3.77 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#122) | 0.343 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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