Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | LUC -215 MASS +178 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +1 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -0.4 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -1.0 (+0.0) | 144.4 (+12.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -0.3 (+1.3) | 144.8 (+12.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -1.1 (-0.1) | 141.8 (+15.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -1.1 (-0.1) | 142.5 (+14.5) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2025 | LUC 74 – 51 MASS |
| Feb 15, 2023 | LUC 64 – 62 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#125) | 7.1 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#124) | 0.77 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#131) | 1.10 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#124) | 0.556 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.