Betting Lines
| Spread | LEM -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | LEM -355 LIU +278 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEM +13 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | LEM -11.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEM -9.6 (+3.4) | 141.9 (+19.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEM -10.8 (+2.2) | 144.0 (+17.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -10.0 (+3.0) | 141.4 (+19.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -10.1 (+2.9) | 140.5 (+20.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | LIU 83 – 61 LEM |
| Jan 19, 2026 | LEM 83 – 77 LIU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LIU 76 – 61 LEM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | LIU 78 – 62 LEM |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LIU 76 – 64 LEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEM | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 6-10 |
| Home | 10-3 | 5-4 |
| Away | 5-14 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#289) | -15.4 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#307) | -2.18 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#307) | -2.81 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#308) | 0.387 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEM | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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