Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | LEM +110 LIU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEM +6 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -0.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -1.1 (+7.1) | 140.0 (+20.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -1.1 (+7.1) | 140.6 (+19.4) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -0.8 (+6.8) | 139.4 (+20.6) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -1.0 (+7.0) | 139.1 (+20.9) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | LIU 83 – 61 LEM |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LIU 76 – 61 LEM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | LIU 78 – 62 LEM |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LIU 76 – 64 LEM |
| Jan 27, 2024 | LEM 87 – 74 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEM | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-12 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#267) | -2.6 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#305) | 0.01 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#309) | -0.08 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#308) | 0.500 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEM | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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