Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU -110 FAMU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -1.9 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -0.0 (+12.0) | 147.0 (-13.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -2.0 (+10.0) | 143.5 (-9.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -0.8 (+11.2) | 147.4 (-13.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -0.1 (+11.9) | 148.1 (-14.1) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | AAMU 63 – 61 FAMU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 FAMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | AAMU 77 – 66 FAMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FAMU 95 – 79 AAMU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | FAMU 76 – 58 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-23 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-5 | 4-8 |
| Away | 4-15 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#351) | -13.3 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#339) | -2.01 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.35 (#351) | -2.84 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#341) | 0.431 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.3% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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