Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU -125 FAMU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +11 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | FAMU -3.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -2.9 (+13.9) | 145.5 (-2.5) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -1.5 (+12.5) | 143.2 (-0.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -3.1 (+14.1) | 142.5 (+0.5) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -3.3 (+14.3) | 142.8 (+0.2) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | AAMU 63 – 61 FAMU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 FAMU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FAMU 95 – 79 AAMU |
| Feb 27, 2024 | FAMU 76 – 58 AAMU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | AAMU 73 – 61 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-9 | 9-3 |
| Away | 2-12 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -16.9 (#359) | -10.3 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.17 (#359) | -1.12 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.78 (#358) | -1.44 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.370 (#357) | 0.467 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.