Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | NCSU -350 GT +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -8.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -6.7 (-0.7) | 149.9 (+8.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -7.7 (-1.7) | 149.3 (+8.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -7.2 (-1.2) | 145.8 (+12.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -7.0 (-1.0) | 145.9 (+12.1) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | GT 78 – 74 NCSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | GT 87 – 62 NCSU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | NCSU 72 – 64 GT |
| Jan 18, 2023 | NCSU 78 – 66 GT |
| Feb 16, 2022 | NCSU 76 – 61 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 10-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#82) | 2.6 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#64) | 0.87 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#66) | 0.76 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#103) | 0.536 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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