Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | NCSU -1400 GT +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -16.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -15.3 (-7.3) | 146.0 (-10.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -13.1 (-5.1) | 145.7 (-9.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -13.4 (-5.4) | 144.6 (-8.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -14.5 (-6.5) | 145.6 (-9.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | GT 78 – 74 NCSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | GT 87 – 62 NCSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NCSU 82 – 76 GT |
| Jan 18, 2023 | NCSU 78 – 66 GT |
| Feb 16, 2022 | NCSU 76 – 61 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#41) | -2.5 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#21) | -0.30 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#33) | -0.37 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#43) | 0.475 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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