Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | RID +100 MRST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +15 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -1.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -0.6 (-15.6) | 134.9 (+4.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -1.4 (-16.4) | 131.2 (+7.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -1.2 (-16.2) | 131.9 (+7.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -0.8 (-15.8) | 133.9 (+5.1) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | MRST 81 – 52 RID |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MRST 71 – 49 RID |
| Jan 19, 2025 | RID 64 – 57 MRST |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MRST 83 – 60 RID |
| Jan 28, 2023 | RID 68 – 52 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 62.2 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#266) | -3.4 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#289) | -0.78 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#289) | -1.08 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#262) | 0.457 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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