Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | AAMU -800 MVSU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +23 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -14.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -12.0 (+11.0) | 135.5 (+1.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -11.6 (+11.4) | 133.6 (+3.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -11.9 (+11.1) | 134.6 (+2.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -11.3 (+11.7) | 134.3 (+2.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 MVSU |
| Jan 6, 2026 | AAMU 71 – 51 MVSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AAMU 82 – 70 MVSU |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AAMU 79 – 67 MVSU |
| Jan 9, 2024 | AAMU 78 – 70 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-23 | 1-30 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 1-17 |
| Home | 7-5 | 1-8 |
| Away | 4-15 | 0-22 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 55.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#342) | -24.0 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#316) | -4.99 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#330) | -6.57 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#323) | 0.359 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 24.6% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 34.0% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 63.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.5% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.