Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | AAMU -6000 MVSU +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -14.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -12.5 (-0.5) | 136.7 (+9.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -13.0 (-1.0) | 137.2 (+8.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -10.0 (+2.0) | 138.5 (+7.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -11.1 (+0.9) | 140.5 (+5.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 MVSU |
| Jan 6, 2026 | AAMU 71 – 51 MVSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AAMU 82 – 70 MVSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | AAMU 80 – 57 MVSU |
| Jan 9, 2024 | AAMU 78 – 70 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 1-17 |
| Home | 8-9 | 2-9 |
| Away | 2-12 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 52.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 82.3 |
| Massey | -18.7 (#362) | -29.4 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.07 (#351) | -2.97 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.80 (#350) | -4.33 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.352 (#360) | 0.432 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 34.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 23.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 25.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 37.7% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 25.6% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 62.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 59.8% | 59.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.3% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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