Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | GT +115 SYR -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +5 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -1.2 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -1.2 (+6.2) | 147.4 (-22.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -0.7 (+5.7) | 147.0 (-22.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -0.9 (+5.9) | 145.9 (-20.9) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -1.0 (+6.0) | 146.0 (-21.0) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | SYR 82 – 72 GT |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SYR 62 – 55 GT |
| Mar 1, 2023 | GT 96 – 76 SYR |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SYR 80 – 63 GT |
| Feb 22, 2022 | SYR 74 – 73 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#143) | 6.0 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#134) | 1.78 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#151) | 2.15 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#153) | 0.595 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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