We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Atlantic Coast Conference · JMA Wireless Dome · January 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SYR -1.5 Home covered
O/U 153.5 Under
Money SYR -110 / GT -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total SYR win
Actual SYR +7 117 Won
Massey SYR -1.4 (+5.6) — —
Massey Totals — 158.9 (-41.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 70% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 74% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SYR -0.3 (+6.7) 154.7 (-37.7) 52% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SYR -2.5 (+4.5) 151.8 (-34.8) 57% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SYR -0.1 (+6.9) 152.5 (-35.5) 54% ✓
Baseline ML SYR -0.4 (+6.6) 153.2 (-36.2) 51% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 7, 2026 SYR 82 – 72 GT
Feb 17, 2024 GT 65 – 60 SYR
Mar 1, 2023 GT 96 – 76 SYR
Jan 21, 2023 SYR 80 – 63 GT
Feb 22, 2022 SYR 74 – 73 GT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SYR GT
Overall 14-19 17-17
Conference 7-13 10-10
Home 11-6 14-6
Away 2-9 2-9
Neutral 1-4 1-2
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 74.7 73.1
Avg Pts Against 77.8 72.7
Massey 0.5 (#153) 3.2 (#113)
Bradley-Terry -0.17 (#187) -0.25 (#195)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.00 (#165) -0.18 (#182)
RPI 0.502 (#168) 0.471 (#224)
Shooting & Four Factors SYR GT
FG% 45.8% 45.0%
3PT% 29.6% 34.8%
REB / G 38.4 38.0
OREB / G 10.9 10.6
AST / TO 1.14 1.39
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 51.5%
TOV% 17.3% 16.1%
ORB% 30.2% 29.7%
FT Rate 25.4% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.0% 47.8%
Opp TOV% 14.2% 15.9%
DRB% 75.5% 72.9%
Opp FT Rate 22.4% 23.9%

Game Analysis

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