Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | FIU +110 JXST -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +2 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -2.9 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -1.9 (-0.1) | 134.7 (+17.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -2.1 (+0.1) | 133.6 (+18.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -2.9 (+0.9) | 135.8 (+16.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -2.4 (+0.4) | 135.2 (+16.8) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | JXST 78 – 74 FIU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | JXST 71 – 64 FIU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | JXST 65 – 56 FIU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JXST 84 – 79 FIU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | JXST 71 – 67 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 1-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#287) | -0.9 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#289) | -0.62 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#275) | -0.24 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#318) | 0.460 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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