Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | NEV -700 SDST +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +14 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -8.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -8.4 (+5.6) | 137.6 (+2.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -10.0 (+4.0) | 136.9 (+3.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -7.6 (+6.4) | 138.5 (+1.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -7.5 (+6.5) | 136.4 (+3.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2021 | SDST 102 – 75 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-5 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#59) | 5.0 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#76) | 0.39 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#77) | 0.99 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#42) | 0.498 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 79.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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