Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +27 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | SDST -8.2 (-18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -6.7 (-20.3) | 158.8 (+18.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -5.8 (-21.2) | 159.0 (+18.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -7.1 (-19.9) | 156.8 (+20.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -7.2 (-19.8) | 158.2 (+18.8) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2024 | NEV 77 – 63 SDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 18-0 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-0 |
| Away | 3-9 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 84.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#195) | 7.0 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#301) | 2.04 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#297) | 3.32 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#207) | 0.623 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 13.4% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.0% | 9.9% |
Game Analysis
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