Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | GW -750 ARMY +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +15 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | GW -9.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.9 (-28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -10.8 (+4.2) | 156.7 (-21.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -9.2 (+5.8) | 155.0 (-20.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -8.4 (+6.6) | 153.5 (-18.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -10.4 (+4.6) | 156.8 (-21.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2025 | GW 84 – 70 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#169) | -5.4 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#143) | -0.61 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#146) | -1.00 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#186) | 0.463 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 35.7% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 12.1% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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