Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +14 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | GW -20.2 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -11.5 (-2.5) | 158.3 (-4.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -9.5 (-4.5) | 157.5 (-3.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -12.3 (-1.7) | 155.3 (-1.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -12.0 (-2.0) | 157.1 (-3.1) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | GW 75 – 60 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-10 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -12.1 (#332) | 13.4 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#318) | 1.17 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.46 (#325) | 2.23 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#317) | 0.548 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 51.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 38.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 59.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 36.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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