Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | LAF +120 LEH -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +15 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -0.3 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -0.7 (-14.3) | 135.7 (+1.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -2.1 (-12.9) | 135.0 (+2.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -1.0 (-14.0) | 131.9 (+5.1) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -0.6 (-14.4) | 132.6 (+4.4) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEH 78 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 25, 2026 | LEH 64 – 59 LAF |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAF 78 – 70 LEH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LEH 86 – 47 LAF |
| Feb 24, 2024 | LEH 71 – 63 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#305) | -4.8 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#326) | -1.88 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#324) | -1.86 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#289) | 0.448 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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