And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Cincinnati Bearcats
90 – 85
FINAL Neutral Conference Big 12
West Virginia Mountaineers
Big 12 Conference · T-Mobile Center (Neutral) · March 12, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CIN -9.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money CIN -500 / WVU +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total CIN win
Actual CIN +5 175 Won
Massey CIN -11.5 (-6.5) — —
Massey Totals — 143.5 (+31.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 80% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 83% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CIN -10.3 (-5.3) 143.0 (+32.0) 82% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CIN -9.2 (-4.2) 142.5 (+32.5) 82% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CIN -10.2 (-5.2) 142.7 (+32.3) 82% ✓
Baseline ML CIN -10.0 (-5.0) 144.0 (+31.0) 82% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2026 WVU 59 – 54 CIN
Jan 7, 2026 WVU 62 – 60 CIN
Feb 20, 2025 WVU 62 – 59 CIN
Feb 2, 2025 WVU 63 – 50 CIN
Mar 9, 2024 CIN 92 – 56 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CIN WVU
Overall 22-15 9-23
Conference 7-11 4-14
Home 16-5 9-9
Away 4-8 0-9
Neutral 2-2 0-5
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L6
Avg Pts For 74.7 69.8
Avg Pts Against 68.2 76.8
Massey 12.9 (#30) 1.4 (#143)
Bradley-Terry 1.41 (#74) 0.01 (#170)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.87 (#64) 0.28 (#152)
RPI 0.551 (#81) 0.483 (#214)
Shooting & Four Factors CIN WVU
FG% 44.5% 42.6%
3PT% 32.1% 34.6%
REB / G 39.7 33.8
OREB / G 13.8 9.3
AST / TO 1.22 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.2% 49.0%
TOV% 17.6% 18.5%
ORB% 37.9% 26.8%
FT Rate 19.7% 26.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 15.1%
DRB% 74.5% 69.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.3% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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