The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Big 12 Conference · Fifth Third Arena · February 6, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread CIN -5.5 Away covered
O/U 127.5 Under
Money CIN -245 / WVU +200
Model Predictions
Spread Total CIN win
Actual WVU +5 113 Lost
Massey CIN -3.5 (-8.5) — —
Massey Totals — 124.1 (-11.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 52% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 55% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CIN -2.3 (-7.3) 128.0 (-15.0) 58% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CIN -2.1 (-7.1) 129.5 (-16.5) 61% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CIN -1.5 (-6.5) 124.8 (-11.8) 58% ✗
Baseline ML CIN -1.8 (-6.8) 126.6 (-13.6) 57% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 7, 2026 WVU 62 – 60 CIN
Feb 20, 2025 WVU 62 – 59 CIN
Feb 2, 2025 WVU 63 – 50 CIN
Mar 12, 2024 CIN 90 – 85 WVU
Mar 9, 2024 CIN 92 – 56 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CIN WVU
Overall 18-15 21-14
Conference 9-9 9-9
Home 15-3 15-3
Away 2-8 3-6
Neutral 1-4 3-5
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 W3
Avg Pts For 73.1 70.6
Avg Pts Against 67.6 65.7
Massey 9.6 (#59) 9.1 (#65)
Bradley-Terry 1.13 (#81) 1.56 (#66)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.79 (#72) 2.16 (#61)
RPI 0.534 (#107) 0.535 (#102)
Shooting & Four Factors CIN WVU
FG% 41.9% 44.6%
3PT% 30.4% 35.5%
REB / G 37.6 35.3
OREB / G 11.2 10.3
AST / TO 1.33 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 52.2%
TOV% 17.6% 17.2%
ORB% 30.2% 30.7%
FT Rate 20.4% 25.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 48.1%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 17.9%
DRB% 74.3% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 19.8%

Game Analysis

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