Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | TTU +138 BYU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +14 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -4.9 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -2.4 (+16.4) | 145.3 (+2.7) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -2.5 (+16.5) | 147.7 (+0.3) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -3.3 (+17.3) | 146.5 (+1.5) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -3.1 (+17.1) | 146.4 (+1.6) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | BYU 82 – 76 TTU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | TTU 84 – 71 BYU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | TTU 72 – 67 BYU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TTU 85 – 78 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 16-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#26) | 18.1 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#31) | 2.25 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#37) | 2.71 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#45) | 0.579 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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