Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | TTU -148 BYU +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -0.6 (+13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (-5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -0.8 (+12.2) | 154.7 (+0.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -1.7 (+11.3) | 152.7 (+2.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -2.1 (+10.9) | 155.7 (-0.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -2.1 (+10.9) | 154.6 (+0.4) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | BYU 82 – 76 TTU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | TTU 72 – 67 BYU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TTU 81 – 67 BYU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TTU 85 – 78 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 83.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 17.1 (#26) | 21.1 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.31 (#16) | 4.69 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.87 (#23) | 6.29 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.664 (#9) | 0.674 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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