Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | ALA -167 CLEM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +7 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -4.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -2.1 (+4.9) | 160.8 (+10.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -2.8 (+4.2) | 164.2 (+6.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -2.0 (+5.0) | 162.4 (+8.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -2.4 (+4.6) | 159.2 (+11.8) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | ALA 90 – 84 CLEM |
| Nov 29, 2023 | CLEM 85 – 77 ALA |
| Dec 13, 2020 | CLEM 64 – 56 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 90.1 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 18.5 (#10) | 14.1 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#13) | 2.38 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.14 (#13) | 3.08 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#6) | 0.602 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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