Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | ALA -130 CLEM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +8 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -6.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -4.0 (-4.0) | 137.0 (-17.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -4.0 (-4.0) | 136.8 (-16.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -5.1 (-2.9) | 133.9 (-13.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -4.2 (-3.8) | 134.5 (-14.5) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | ALA 90 – 84 CLEM |
| Mar 31, 2024 | ALA 89 – 82 CLEM |
| Nov 29, 2023 | CLEM 85 – 77 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-7 | 16-8 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-6 |
| Home | 12-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-3 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 61.9 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#53) | 14.0 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#77) | 2.91 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#77) | 5.07 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#65) | 0.682 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 40.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 29.8% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 12.7% |
Game Analysis
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