Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD -130 SAC N/A |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +10 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -5.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -1.1 (-11.1) | 139.3 (-19.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -0.1 (-10.1) | 138.4 (-18.4) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | UCSD 64 – 54 SAC |
| Dec 19, 2023 | UCSD 83 – 52 SAC |
| Nov 21, 2021 | UCSD 71 – 56 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 4-10 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#322) | -2.1 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#335) | -0.20 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.75 (#334) | -0.17 (#176) |
| RPI | — | 0.750 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 34.5% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 11.1% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.89 | 0.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 36.4% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 30.4% |
| ORB% | 20.7% | 38.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.5% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 3.1% |
Game Analysis
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