Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -175 LMU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +15 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -22.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -16.1 (-1.1) | 145.6 (-2.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -18.8 (-3.8) | 143.2 (-0.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -17.4 (-2.4) | 146.6 (-3.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | UCI 66 – 51 LMU |
| Dec 18, 2020 | LMU 51 – 48 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#16) | -1.7 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#14) | -0.95 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.35 (#12) | -1.01 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#29) | 0.419 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 42.9% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 10.8% | 10.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.5% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.6% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.