Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | LMU -200 UCI +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +3 | 99 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -14.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-46.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -13.2 (-10.2) | 144.6 (-45.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -10.9 (-7.9) | 142.3 (-43.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -12.0 (-9.0) | 144.1 (-45.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -13.4 (-10.4) | 144.7 (-45.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | UCI 66 – 51 LMU |
| Nov 16, 2022 | UCI 79 – 64 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-9 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 7-5 | 10-4 |
| Home | 8-3 | 10-1 |
| Away | 4-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 64.1 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#142) | -8.9 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#111) | -2.17 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#109) | -3.57 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#47) | 0.464 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 13.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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