Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | MILW +100 STMN -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -0.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -1.6 (-2.4) | 136.6 (+11.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -0.7 (-3.3) | 141.7 (+6.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -0.9 (-3.1) | 139.2 (+8.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -0.9 (-3.1) | 139.3 (+8.7) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | MILW 69 – 65 STMN |
| Dec 7, 2023 | STMN 75 – 71 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#232) | 3.3 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#231) | 0.83 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#226) | 0.35 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#117) | 0.574 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.38 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 59.0% |
| TOV% | 32.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 58.4% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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