Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | MILW -145 STMN +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -1.3 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -1.0 (+3.0) | 151.2 (-17.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -0.0 (+4.0) | 148.5 (-14.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -1.8 (+2.2) | 147.3 (-13.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -1.2 (+2.8) | 149.2 (-15.2) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | STMN 75 – 71 MILW |
| Nov 23, 2022 | STMN 76 – 72 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-4 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-0 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#205) | 5.8 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#164) | 0.39 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#164) | 0.94 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#186) | 0.485 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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