Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | KSU +130 LSU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +2 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -5.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -2.9 (-0.9) | 142.5 (-22.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -2.6 (-0.6) | 138.5 (-18.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -2.1 (-0.1) | 139.7 (-19.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -2.6 (-0.6) | 140.1 (-20.1) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2024 | LSU 76 – 65 KSU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | KSU 75 – 60 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 2-16 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#27) | 6.9 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#8) | 2.91 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.41 (#6) | 4.70 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.659 (#30) | 0.611 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 42.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.2% | 25.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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