Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | KSU -425 LSU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +11 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | KSU -3.4 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -3.6 (-14.6) | 144.1 (-3.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -3.1 (-14.1) | 144.5 (-3.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -5.7 (-16.7) | 144.6 (-3.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -6.0 (-17.0) | 144.6 (-3.6) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | KSU 75 – 60 LSU |
| Nov 24, 2022 | KSU 61 – 59 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#159) | 6.5 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#96) | 0.56 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#101) | 0.70 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#80) | 0.417 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.8% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 43.4% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.6% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 43.3% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 36.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 37.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 57.9% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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